Showing posts with label U.S. Wildfires - statistics and resources. Show all posts
Showing posts with label U.S. Wildfires - statistics and resources. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 03, 2020

National Preparedness Levels (U.S.)

My friends at from the US National Weather Service IMET Office shared a nice video, under three minutes about the national (wildfire) preparedness level from the National Interagency Fire Center.
 



Here is a direct link to the post from the NWS IMET page. In the years that I have been writing this blog on aerial wildland firefighting, I have run into the National Preparedness Levels many times, especially when the level is four or five. Please take three minutes to watch the video. 

The current national preparedness level from the National Interagency Fire Center may be found here.

For those of you who would like complete information, here is a description of each of the five national preparedness levels from the National Interagency Fire Center:
National Preparedness Levels

The National Multi-Agency Coordination Group (NMAC) establishes Preparedness Levels throughout the calendar year to help assure that firefighting resources are ready to respond to new incidents. Preparedness Levels are dictated by fuel and weather conditions, fire activity, and resource availability.

The five Preparedness Levels range from 1 to 5, with 5 being the highest level. Each Preparedness Level has specific management directions. As the Preparedness Levels rise, more federal and state employees become available for fire mobilization if needed.

Preparedness Level 1

Geographic Areas accomplish incident management objectives utilizing local resources with little or no national support.
- Conditions are not favorable to support significant wildland fire activity in most geographic areas.
- Resource capability is adequate with little or no mobilization of resources occurring through the National Interagency Coordination Center.
- Potential for emerging significant wildland fires is expected to remain minimal.

Preparedness Level 2

Active Geographic Areas (GA's) are unable to independently accomplish incident management objectives. Resource capability remains stable enough nationally to sustain incident operations and meet objectives in active GA's.
- Significant wildland fire activity is increasing in a few geographic areas.
- Resources within most geographic areas are adequate to manage the current situation, with light to moderate mobilization of resources occurring through the National Interagency Coordination Center.
- Potential for emerging significant wildland fires is normal to below normal for the time of year.

Preparedness Level 3

Mobilization of resources nationally is required to sustain incident management operations in the active Geographic Areas (GA's). National priorities established as a necessary measure to address the heavy and persistent demand for shared resources among active GA's.
- Significant wildland fire activity is occurring in multiple geographic areas, with Incident Management Teams (IMTs) actively engaged.
- Mobilization of resources through the National Interagency Coordination Center is moderate to heavy.
- Potential for emerging significant wildland fires is normal for the time of year.

Preparedness Level 4

Shared resources are heavily committed. National mobilization trends affect all Geographic Areas (GA's) and regularly occur over larger and larger distances. National priorities govern resources of all types. Heavy demand on inactive/low activity GA's with low levels of activity for available resources.
- Significant wildland fire activity is occurring in multiple geographic areas; significant commitment of Incident Management Teams.
- NICC increasingly engages GACCs in an effort to coordinate and fill orders for available resources.
- Potential for significant incidents emerging in multiple GA’s indicates that resource demands will continue or increase.

Preparedness Level 5

National mobilization is heavily committed and measures need to be taken to support GA's. Active GA's must take emergency measures to sustain incident operations.
- Full commitment of national resources is ongoing.
- Resource orders filled at NICC by specifically coordinating requests with GACCs as resources become available.
- Potential for emerging significant wildland fires is high and expected to remain high in multiple geographic areas. National Preparedness Levels

 

Friday, May 17, 2019

Statistics and Resources from the National Interagency Fire Center

For no particular reason other than I can be a little geeky about statistics, I have been curious about how the wildland fire season (year-to-date) compares with previous years. I found some summary statistics on that National Interagency Fire Center's webpage (NIFC) that you may find here. The page that I viewed was updated on May 17, 2019 which happens to be the day I am writing this. I should caution you that these are summary statistics. Hidden in these statistics, especially acreage are going to be very large fires. That is, 2009, 2011, 2016 through 2018 had year-to-date acreage over 1,000,000 acres, This year coming in at 226,078 acres is not the lowest, that goes to 2013. The table below of year-to-date statistics was obtained on May 17, 2019 from https://www.nifc.gov/fireInfo/nfn.htm. I think that there may be a typographical error, I believe that year-to-date refers to the current year, e.g. the current year's statistics would be from January 1, 2019 through May 17, 2019.

Year-to-date statistics (see note 1)
2019 (1/1/19 - 5/17/19) Fires: 12,567 Acres: 226,078
2018 (1/1/18 - 5/17/18) Fires: 21,997 Acres: 1,600,169
2017 (1/1/17 - 5/17/17) Fires: 22,518 Acres: 2,108,768
2016 (1/1/16 - 5/17/16) Fires: 18,188 Acres: 1,542,953
2015 (1/1/15 - 5/17/15) Fires: 19,741 Acres: 375,155
2014 (1/1/14 - 5/17/14) Fires: 22,527 Acres: 462,319
2013 (1/1/13 - 5/17/13) Fires: 15,971 Acres: 211,225
2012 (1/1/12 - 5/17/12) Fires: 20,,099 Acres: 473,859
2011 (1/1/11 - 5/17/11) Fires: 25,804 Acres: 2,664,606
2010 (1/1/10 - 5/17/10) Fires: 23,899 Acres: 348,404
2009 (1/1/09 - 5/17/09) Fires: 32,251 Acres: 1,297,145
10-year average Year-to-Date
2009-2018 Fires: 22,752Acres: 1,089,366

The National Interagency Coordination Center, an arm of NIFC, has current and archived data on wildfires by Coordination Center may be found on this webpage under Situation, National Products, Incident Management Situation Report.

One of the reasons why I am sharing these data to share this resources from NIFC for those of you who are not familiar with NIFC's resources. NIFC has a nice fire statistic page, mostly summary statistics. I am quite aware that there are likely to be other sources of historical wildfire statistics that I am not aware of either on the national level as well as regional and local. NIFC has a variety of other resources as well: aviation, fire shelters and safety to name a few. I will leave you to your devices to explore.

There is a video that I saw on the NIFC home page on the wildfire outlook for May and June of 2019 with seasonal outlooks for July and August. I am interested in hearing what Brian Henry, Assistant National Weather Fire Weather Program Manager for Predictive Services in Boise, Idaho has to say.


Direct link to video from NIFC

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Note 1: The data table showing year-to-date statistics as of May 17th was corrected to correct what I believe to be a typographical error. The original data on the website states that the year to date statistics goes back to January 1 of the preceding year (e.g. 2019 (1/1/18-5/17/19); 2018 (1/1/17-5/17/18, etc). I took the liberty of changing the year to date column to reflect the current year. Any errors in this presentation are my responsibility.