Showing posts with label Red Flag Warning. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Red Flag Warning. Show all posts

Thursday, October 24, 2024

2024 New Jersey Wildfire Season: Red Flag Warnings for Central and Southern NJ

The National Weather Service has issued Red Flag Warnings (extreme wildfire danger) for central and southern New Jersey starting at 11AM on October 24th. In addition, the NWS at Mt. Holly issued a special weather statement for the rest of their forecast area for an increased risk of wildfires today, October 24th.

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE 

National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 352 AM EDT Thu Oct 24 2024 

NJZ012-013-015>023-027-242200- /O.CON.KPHI.FW.W.0002.241024T1500Z-241024T2200Z/ Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden- Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May- Southeastern Burlington- 352 AM EDT Thu Oct 24 2024 .

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHERN TO CENTRAL NEW JERSEY... The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 11 AM to 6 PM EDT Today. * AFFECTED AREA...Middlesex, Western Monmouth, Mercer, Salem,    Gloucester, Camden, Northwestern Burlington, Ocean,    Cumberland, Atlantic, Cape May and Southeastern Burlington.

* TIMING...From 11 AM to 6 PM EDT Thursday. 

* WINDS...North to Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to   30 mph. 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 30 percent. * TEMPERATURES...In the mid to upper 60s.  

 * IMPACTS...The combination of very dry conditions, low relative   humidity, and gusty winds will result in favorable conditions   for the rapid spread of fires. Any fires that develop may     become difficult to contain, especially cross the Pine Barrens    region. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly due to a combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels. Any fires that develop may quickly get out of control and become difficult to contain. For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions, and wildfire prevention and education, please visit your state forestry or environmental protection website. && $$ OHara 


Friday, March 22, 2024

2024 New Jersey Wildfire Season: Red Flag Warning on March 21st

I did know about the March 21st Red Flag Warning issued by the National Weather Service in Mt. Holly NJ for central and southern New Jersey. Time got away from me yesterday and I would normally post about a Red Flag Warning on the day of the warning. I did check some local media as well as the NJ Forest Fire Service Facebook account to see if there were any major wildfires yesterday. I did not see any information about major wildfires yesterday, all this means is that I am not aware of any major wildfires in New Jersey on March 21st, I would suspect that there were smaller brush and wildfires. A link to the text that I posted below may be found here.

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE

National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ

858 AM EDT Thu Mar 21 2024


...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...

.Low fuel moistures, low daytime relative humidity values, and  breezy conditions will result in critical fire weather conditions  through the early evening hours. Any fires that develop may become difficult to contain. 

NJZ012>027-212300-

/O.NEW.KPHI.FW.W.0001.240321T1258Z-240321T2300Z/

Middlesex-Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-Southeastern Burlington-

858 AM EDT Thu Mar 21 2024


...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...


The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect until 7 PM EDT this evening.


* AFFECTED AREA...Middlesex, Western Monmouth, Eastern Monmouth, Mercer, Salem, Gloucester, Camden, Northwestern Burlington, Ocean, Cumberland, Atlantic, Cape May, Atlantic Coastal Cape May, Coastal Atlantic, Coastal Ocean and Southeastern Burlington.


* TIMING...Through early this evening.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 21 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...Up to 45.

* IMPACTS...The combination of dry conditions, low relative humidity, and gusty winds will result in favorable conditions for the rapid spread of fires. Any fires that develop may become difficult to contain. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now, or will shortly due to a combination of strong winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels. Any fires that develop may quickly get out of control and become difficult to contain.

For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions, and wildfire prevention and education, please visit your state orestry or environmental protection website.


&&

$$

Kruzdlo

Tuesday, June 06, 2023

2023 New Jersey Wildfire Season: Red Flag Warning (June 6th)

 

Obtained on June 6, 2023 from https://www.weather.gov/phi/


URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
349 AM EDT Tue Jun 6 2023

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY...

.Low fuel moistures, low daytime relative humidity values, and
breezy conditions will result in critical fire weather conditions
into this afternoon and evening. Any fires that develop may 
quickly get out of control and become difficult to contain. There 
is also a chance of isolated dry thunderstorms, which could serve 
as an ignition source for fires today.

NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-070000-
/O.UPG.KPHI.FW.A.0003.230606T1500Z-230607T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.FW.W.0006.230606T1500Z-230607T0000Z/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-
Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
349 AM EDT Tue Jun 6 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR SOUTHEASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, INCLUDING THE LEHIGH VALLEY AND POCONO PLATEAU, 
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY, AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW 
JERSEY...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Red Flag
Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in
effect from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT this evening. The Fire
Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...Sussex, Warren, Morris, Hunterdon, Somerset, 
  Middlesex, Western Monmouth, Eastern Monmouth, Mercer, Salem, 
  Gloucester, Camden, Northwestern Burlington, Ocean, 
  Cumberland, Atlantic, Cape May, Atlantic Coastal Cape May, 
  Coastal Atlantic, Coastal Ocean, Southeastern Burlington, 
  Carbon, Monroe, Berks, Lehigh, Northampton, Delaware, 
  Philadelphia, Western Chester, Eastern Chester, Western 
  Montgomery, Eastern Montgomery, Upper Bucks and Lower Bucks.

* TIMING...Tuesday morning through Tuesday evening.

* WINDS...Northwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 25 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...In the mid 70s to low 80s.

* IMPACTS...The combination of very dry conditions, low 
  humidity, and gusty winds will result in favorable conditions 
  for the rapid spread of fires on Tuesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly due to a combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels. Any fires
that develop may quickly get out of control and become difficult
to contain. 

For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions, 
and wildfire prevention and education, please visit your state 
forestry or environmental protection website.

&&

$$

Staarmann


Wednesday, May 17, 2023

2023 New Jersey Wildfire Season: Fire Weather Forecast (May 17th)

On May 15th, I wrote about the danger of conditions that are ripe for extreme fire danger this week. The expected fire weather danger turned into real fire weather danger yesterday, March 16th, with Red Flag Warnings in southern New Jersey and an elevated risk of fire danger for the rest of the state. These same fire weather conditions continue today, March 17th with Red Flag Warnings continuing for much of southern New Jersey and an elevated risk of fire danger in the rest of New Jersey (covered by a Special Weather Statement issued bo the National Weather Service). 

Obtained on May 17, 2023 at 11:30 AM from https://www.weather.gov/phi/

000
WWUS81 KPHI 171335
RFWPHI

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
935 AM EDT Wed May 17 2023

NJZ017>020-022-027-180000-
/O.CON.KPHI.FW.W.0005.000000T0000Z-230518T0000Z/
Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Atlantic-
Southeastern Burlington-
935 AM EDT Wed May 17 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN 
NEW JERSEY...

* AFFECTED AREA...Gloucester, Camden, Burlington, Ocean and
  Atlantic counties, especially the Pine Barrens.

* TIMING...Through early this evening, with the driest conditions
  occurring this afternoon.

* WINDS...North 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 20 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...In the mid to upper 60s.

* IMPACTS...The combination of dry conditions, low relative 
  humidity and gusty winds will result in favorable conditions 
  for the rapid spread of wildfires today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected due to a combination of strong winds, low relative
humidity and dry fuels. Any fires that develop may quickly get
out of control and become difficult to contain.

For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions,
and wildfire prevention and education, please visit your state
forestry or environmental protection website.

&&

$$

Iovino/Gorse


Wednesday, April 19, 2023

2023 New Jersey Wildfire Season: Red Flag Warning for NJ (11 AM to 8PM)

 

obtained  at 8:30 AM on April 19, 2023 from NWS Mt Holly


Fire Weather Planning Forecast 

National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ

554 AM EDT Wed Apr 19 2023

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...


.DISCUSSION...

Low daytime relative humidity is forecast through the remainder of the week. Critical fuel moistures continue to dry out as we get further away from the most recent wetting rains. This will continue to result in fire weather concerns for the next few days, but especially for today as breezy conditions persist.

For today, conditions will be somewhat less significant compared to Tuesday in terms of winds. West to northwest winds will be sustained around 10 to 15 mph with frequent gusts around 20-25 mph. The winds will be on the lower end of the aforementioned spectrum for Delmarva. Relative humidity is forecast to fall to around 20% to 30% across much of the area. Some minimum values near 15% are possible across Delmarva. Forecast high temperatures are well into the mid to upper 60s across the area, and near 70 degrees across Delmarva.

A Red Flag Warning has been issued for New Jersey, which is in effect from 11 AM to 8 PM today. A Special Weather Statement has been issued for our Maryland and Delaware forecast zones, since the current wind forecast does not meet Red Flag criteria for those areas. Additional coordination will be needed later this morning to determine if any fire weather danger products will beneeded for Pennsylvania.

For Thursday and Friday, relative humidity will continue to fall to around 30% across the area, although winds will be notably less around 10 mph during the daytime hours.


Friday, April 29, 2022

2022 wildfire season: Red Flag Warnings in Southwest and Mid-Atlantic

 Most morning the first thing I do is to check my local National Weather Service Forecast Office (NWS Philadelphia/Mt Holly) to get the current weather forecast and to be aware of any current weather hazards. So the first thing I noticed is that New Jersey and adjoining areas in Pennsylvania are under a Red Flag Warning for the second day in a row. Along with chilly temperatures (brrr!). 

Obtained on April 29, 2022 from https://www.weather.gov/phi/

When I was listening to the news on the radio earlier this morning, the reporter mentioned that portions of the southwestern United States are under Red Flag Warnings, including States such as New Mexico seeing major wildfires such as the Cooks Peak Fire (55,931 acres) and the Hermits Peak Fire (65,824 acres). Acreage totals are acreage burned from Inciweb at the time I am posting this article. Anyway, it seemed only appropriate to write about today's Red Flag Warnings across the United States. Each NWS Weather Forecast Office (WFO) develops their own Red Flag Warning criteria in collaboration with their partners (including but not limited to State fire fighting agencies); this criteria will vary across WFOs.

screen shot obtained on April 29, 2022 from https://www.weather.gov/fire/

I want to thank all wildland firefighters who are out there today fighting wildfires so that we may be as safe as possible. especially those in areas seeing Red Flag Conditions. Stay safe out there.

Sunday, March 14, 2021

Red Flag Warnings (March 14 - 15, 2021): portions of northeast U.S.

The National Weather Service in Mt. Holly has issued a red flag warning for today, March 14 through late in the afternoon of Monday, March 15th. 

Obtained on March 14, 2021 from https://www.weather.gov/phi/ (weather story)

Red Flag Warnings (red on map) are also up for Maryland, portions of Pennsylvania. Virginia and West Virginia; Connecticut; and Massachusetts.

Obtained on March 14, 2021 from https://www.weather.gov/erh/


Monday, October 26, 2020

2020 wildfire season: red flag warnings through October 27

I first read about the current red flag warnings in this Washington Post article from the Capital Weather Gang (October 24th). These red flag warnings are in effect from October 25th through at least October 27th. I was not surprised because I knew from prior years that this is time of year when extreme fire danger can happen in California. Knowing of these red flag warnings, I went to Bill Gabbert's Wildfire Today site as a part of my daily routine of checking on current wildfire news. I saw that he had written a very nice article on Wildfire Today (October 24th) about these red flag warnings. He did his usual excellent job of reporting and I would urge you to check on his article. While I was checking Bill's site, I saw this October 26th article about the Silverado Fire which according to CAL Fire started today, evacuations are in place. Bill Gabbert has up to date information on wildfires that have started in the warned areas of California, you might want to check out his blog, Wildfire Today (on or about October 26-7) for current information.


Obtained on October 25, 2020 from https://www.weather.gov

I am not great on naming colors, but what I call the hot pink color refer to red flag warnings issued by the National Weather Service. I got a downloaded a couple of images from the Facebook page of the U.S. National Weather Service Office at Sacramento, California. The image about red flag warnings is probably an updated image of what Bill Gabbert shared on October 24th.

Obtained on October 26th from NWS Sacramento CA (Oct. 26)

Peak wind gusts posted by NWS Sacramento CA, October 26th 9AM PDT


Wednesday, October 30, 2019

2019 wildfire season: extreme fire danger in southern California (October 30th)

Yesterday I wrote about the dangerous fire weather that will occur in portions of California through tonight (Wednesday, October 30th or tomorrow (Thursday, October 31st). The timing on the end of the dangerous fire weather (Red Flag and High Wind Warnings) varies by Weather Forecast Office.

I am holding all in southern California who are currently experiencing these dangerous fire weather conditions in my meditations: firefighters on the ground and in the air battling these blazes, other first responders and emergency relief workers, all who have lost their homes or businesses, those who are evacuated, livestock and other animals, meteorologists in NWS Weather Forecast Offices, and anyone else that I am not naming here.

I feel wholly inadequate in writing this blog article today. I opted not to try to write about the wildfires that are cropping up in California today, nor am I going to report on wildfires that I have written about the last couple of days.

I was not quite sure what to write about today. I decided to focus on the current weather in southern California that are contributing to the high fire danger, winds and humidity. At the very least, I want to offer this post so that all affected who might read this at some point know that I was paying attention. I knew about the National Weather Service Weather & Hazards Data Viewer (takes you to viewer for the Los Angeles California area) from my wonderings on various National Weather Service (NWS) websites. I went to the viewer and loadedL Red Flag Warnings, wind speed and direction. wind gusts, and humidity. I copied a screen image for you at about 3:25 PM EDT this afternoon. You will see a graphical notation for wind speed and direction that may be referred to as a wind barb, some of you will be familiar with wind barbs but if you want a refresher (I did), a friend from the NWS Mt. Holly Weather Forecast Office sent me some good information about wind barbs including a nice graphic and a definition that may be helpful, it may be found here.

The screen image is below.  The numbers in green are the humidity, note how low they are with little water vapor in the air in some places. The numbers in red are wind gusts, with the wind barbs indicating wind speed and direction. Humidity readings are represented by the green numbers, note how low (little water vapor in the air) many of the readings are. The areas colored in red are Red Flag Warnings, go here for more information on Red Flag Warnings. Red Flag Warnings indicate low humidity, high winds and dry fuels with exact criteria varying by Weather Forecast Office. You should be able to click on the image to get a bigger picture. I bookmarked the link I used to get the map for you. Caution is advised in looking at the link because I believe that what you see at this link will change over time, so what you see may be different.

Screen Shot taken at 3:25 PM EDT on October 30, 2019















You may want to see some wind speed information in tabular format, thanks to the folk at the Iowa State University Iowa Environmental Mesonet for their great archives of current and past text products from NWS Weather Forecast Office, I can give you good permanent links to the latest high wind speed data from NWS Los Angeles and NWS San Diego. Note that there are several observations from both Weather Forecast Offices of 55 mph and above. These data may be preliminary.

Tuesday, October 29, 2019

Extreme Fire Danger Continues in California

I have been writing about the extreme and dangerous fire weather in California on October 25th  and October 28th. Extreme fire dangers continues in portions of California today. Before I get to that, according to the latest update, the Kincaid Fire has burned 75,415 acres with 15 percent containment. One hundred twenty-four structures have been destroyed, 23 structures have been damaged and there are two injuries. At the time I am writing this,  the Getty Fire has burned 656 acres with 5 percent containment. Thousands of people remain under mandatory evacuation orders for both fires. Bill Gabbert of Wildfire Today has been doing a great job covering these fires, including the Kinkaid, Getty, and the Glen Cove and other fires in northern California. Bill has also written about the dangerous fire weather in California here and here.

As you can see from the map below, Red Flag Warnings are in place over portions of California and portions of Arizona. I believe that the Red Flag Warnings in northeastern Arizona are in place from 12 noon through 6PM MDT today. Red Flag Warnings with extreme fire danger conditions including high winds (offshore) are in place in California from today (October 29th)  through Thursday (October 31st), the exact timing varies by National Weather Service (NWS) Weather Forecast Office.

Obtained on October 29, 2019 from https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fire2/?wfo=mfr

Graphics illustrating the extreme fire danger (aka Weather Story), where available, from individual NWS Weather Forecast Offices are shared below. Not included below is that the NWS Medford OR Weather Forecast Office has Red Flag Warnings for their forecast area (northern California) through Wednesday, October 30th.

Obtained on October 29, 2019 from https://www.weather.gov/sto/

Obtained on October 29, 2019 from https://www.weather.gov/mtr/

Obtained on October 29, 2019 from https://www.weather.gov/hnx/

Obtained on October 29, 2019 from https://www.weather.gov/lox/

Obtained on October 29, 2019 from https://www.weather.gov/sgx/

Obtained on October 29, 2019 from https://www.weather.gov/psr/ (includes SE CA)




Monday, October 28, 2019

2019 wildfire season: California Wildfires Oct 28th update

Last Friday, October 25th, I wrote about the Red Flag Warnings and High Wind Warnings that many areas in California were experiencing that day and continued into this morning in northern California.

For all wildland firefighters on the ground and in the air, I thank-you and I am thinking of you, stay safe. For all the meteorologists in National Weather Service Weather Forecasts Offices that saw Red Flag and High Wind Warnings this weekend and will see these dangerous fire weather conditions later this week, I know that you have been working hard to provide those in your forecast area the best possible forecasts because you want them to be as safe as possible.

Northern California will see a short reprieve from offshore high winds today into tomorrow before high winds and red flag conditions return tomorrow. I'll got to those warnings in a minute.

But first, I want to follow-up on two wildfires I wrote about on October 25th as well as two  new fires in California. The Tick Fire has burned 4,615 acres in Los Angeles County and is currently at 70 percent containment, 22 structures were destroyed and another 27 were damaged.

The Kincaid Fire has more than doubled in size since Friday because of the high winds experienced in the fire area over the weekend and into this morning. As I write this, 66,213 acres have burned and the fire is only at 5 percent containment, 96 structures have been destroyed and 16 structures have been damaged. Thousands of people are under mandatory evacuation orders.  In the video below you will hear about mandatory evacuation orders affecting Windsor California.  Other towns are under mandatory evacuation orders, see the October 28th incident update from CAL Fire more information. US National Weather Service San Francisco Area/Monterey Bay California IMET has been deployed to the Kincaid Fire. IMETs save lives!


Direct link to video

I learned about two new fires that started in California on Sunday, October 27th.

The Getty Fire is burning in Los Angeles. As I write this 618 acres have burned and evacuation orders are in place. US National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard IMET has been deployed to the Getty Fire. IMETs save lives!


Direct link to video

The Glencove Fire is burning in Vallejo (Salano County, in the San Francisco Bay Area). I-80 was shut down for awhile.


Direct link to video

Bill Gabbert of Wildfire Today has been doing a great job covering these fires, including the Kinkaid, Getty, and the Glen Cove and other fires in northern California.

Red Flag and High Wind Warnings return for portions of California Tuesday October 29th into Thursday October 31st.

Obtained on October 28, 2019 from https://www.weather.gov/sto/

Obtained on October 28, 2019 from http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/sgx/

Obtained on October 28, 2019 from https://www.weather.gov/lox/

Obtained on October 28, 2019 from http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/psr/



Friday, October 11, 2019

2019 wildfire season: wildfire activity in southern CA as red flag warnings continue

Red flag warnings and gusty Santa Ana winds continue in southern California today. As I write this red flag warnings are still in place. See the graphic from the NWS Los Angeles-Oxnard Weather Forecast Office for more information. To the south of Los Angeles, red flag warnings will continue in the San Diego area through 6 PM PDT, see the Red Flag Warning issued by the NWS San Diego Weather Forecast Office.

obtained from https://www.weather.gov/lox/ on October 11, 2019





National Weather Service San Diego CA
752 AM PDT Fri Oct 11 2019

 CAZ248-250-255>258-265-554-120100-
/O.CON.KSGX.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-191012T0100Z/
San Bernardino and Riverside County Valleys - The Inland Empire-
San Diego County Inland Valleys-San Bernardino County Mountains- Including The Mountain Top And Front Country Ranger Districts Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Riverside County Mountains- Including The San Jacinto Ranger District Of The San Bernardino National Forest-Santa Ana Mountains- Including The Trabuco Ranger District of the Cleveland National Forest-San Diego County Mountains- Including The Palomar And Descanso Ranger Districts of the Cleveland National Forest-San Gorgonio Pass Near Banning- Orange County Inland Areas-
752 AM PDT Fri Oct 11 2019

 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...

 * Wind...Northeast to east winds 20 to 35 mph with gusts 50 to 60 mph. Isolated gusts to 70 in the northern Santa Ana Mountains and below the Cajon Pass this morning. * Humidity...Lowest daytime of 3 to 6 percent with poor overnight recovery tonight.

 * Timing...Strongest this morning. Weakening this afternoon.

 * Impacts...Current fires and any new fires may spread rapidly and exhibit extreme fire behavior. Active burning through the night due to gusty winds and extremely dry conditions. Outdoor burning is not recommended. The strong winds could blow around unsecured objects and make driving high profile vehicles more difficult. Areas of blowing sand and dust will be possible, which could lead to sudden visibility restrictions.

 * Outlook...Very low relative humidity will continue into Saturday, but with with weaker and less widespread winds near the coastal slopes of the mountains on Saturday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions are either occurring now....or will shortly. A combination of strong winds...low relative humidity...and warm temperatures can contribute to extreme fire behavior.


In an effort to know about wildfires that are going on today in southern California, I have been watching live stream of CBS2 in Los Angeles. I already knew about the Saddle Ridge Fire (started October 10th at 9 PM PDT) burning in northern Los Angeles County from an article Bill Gabbert posted on Wildfire Today today. Bill wrote that as of 9:30 AM PDT 4,700 acres have burned with zero containment. At least 25 houses have been destroyed and evacuations are in place. The Los Angeles Fire Department has a web page set up with information about road closures, mandatory evacuations and evacuation centers along with other information about the Saddle Ridge Fire that may be found here. In watching the live stream, I have seen that aircraft included one of the Erickson tankers and a large helicopter have been working the fire. One person has died.

According to the Los Angeles Fire Department, as of about 5:30 PM PDT on October 11, 2019, the Saddle Ridge Fire has burned 7,542 acres and is at 13 percent containment

In watching the live stream on CBS Los Angeles as well as checking out San Diego media I learned of the Sandlewood Fire (started on October 10th) near Calimesa that has destroyed 76 mobile hones and 1 person has died in that fire (see this LA Times article for more information). I learned about a wildfire in El Sereno that started around mid-day today, no other information is available about this fire. At the time that I was watching the live stream the fire was small, under five acres.


Wednesday, October 09, 2019

2019 wildfire season: Red Flag Warnings and Santa Ana Winds

There are others such as Bill Gabbert of Wildfire Today and Fire Aviation as well as Mike Archer's Wildfire News of the Day who do a great job on reporting current news about wildfires and related concerns. Today, I offer this post on today's red flag warnings in California and the Southwest as well as forecasted high winds in California, not so much to report but to let all wildland firefighters, aerial wildland firefighters, emergency management officials, and the personnel in the affected National Weather Forecast Office that I am thinking of you. All of you want your residents to be safe. For those on the ground or in the air and your support people, stay safe.

Today, October 9, 2019 there are red flag warnings in portions of California, Nevada, Arizona, New Mexico, Utah, and Colorado.

Red Flag Warnings for October 9, 2019
obtained from https://www.weather.gov/fire/ on October 9, 2019

To complicate matters in California, high wind warnings, some of which may be santa ana winds are expected in California from today through Friday depending on location. This will result in critical fire weather conditions. I have taken graphics from four National Weather Service Forecast Offices in affected areas of California to illustrate the high to extreme fire danger through Friday. I will share those at the end of this post.

In a somewhat controversial move, utilities in some areas of California under red flag and high wind warnings have cut power to hundreds of thousands of customers in a move to minimize wildfires, see this LA Times article (paywall) and Bill Gabbert's Oct 9th article on Wildfire Today for more information.

All I can say at this point is that time will tell what happens.

Here are the promised graphics from National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office who have issued red flag and high wind warnings. Each Weather Forecast Office has Facebook and Twitter accounts which you should be able to find by following the link for each NWS Weather Forecast Office.


NWS San Diego

obtained from https://www.weather.gov/sgx/ on October 9, 2019






NWS Los Angeles

Add cobtained from https://www.weather.gov/lox/ on October 9, 2019







NWS Sacramento

obtained from https://www.weather.gov/sto/ on October 9. 2019


obtained from https://www.weather.gov/sto/ on October 9. 2019





NWS Bay Area

Obtained from https://www.weather.gov/mtr/ on October 9, 2019

Thursday, April 04, 2019

Fire danger continues in New Jersey and NYC metropolitan area

The National Weather Service in Upton, New York has issued a Red Flag Warning for today, April 4th, from 10 AM to 8 PM. Note areas in pink in the image below are areas under a Red Flag Warning. The Albany area of New York, the rest of Connecticut, Rhode Island, Massachusetts and southern New Hamphsire are also under Red Flag Warnings today. The areas in New Jersey with the light brown color are not under Red Flag Warnings but will see enhanced fire weather conditions which I will elaborate at then end of this post following the information from NWS Upton.

Stay safe everyone. Thanks to all the firefighters who will be working to keep all of us safe from wildfires today.

Image obtained on April 4, 2019 at 11:20 AM from https://www.weather.gov/okx/


Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
427 AM EDT Thu Apr 4 2019

...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FIRE SPREAD...

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-
042015-
/O.UPG.KOKX.FW.A.0002.190404T1200Z-190405T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.FW.W.0002.190404T1400Z-190405T0000Z/
Northern Fairfield-Northern New Haven-Northern Middlesex-
Northern New London-Southern Fairfield-Southern New Haven-
Southern Middlesex-Southern New London-Western Passaic-
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Orange-
Putnam-Rockland-Northern Westchester-Southern Westchester-
New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwestern Suffolk-Northeastern Suffolk-
Southwestern Suffolk-Southeastern Suffolk-Northern Queens-
Northern Nassau-Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
427 AM EDT Thu Apr 4 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT
THIS EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...AND
SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from 10 AM this morning to 8 PM EDT
this evening.

* Affected Areas...All of southeast New York, northeast New
  Jersey, and southern Connecticut.

* Timing...Late this morning into early this evening.

* Winds...Northwest 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph. Highest
  winds across southern Connecticut.

* Relative Humidity...10 to 15 percent.

* Impacts...Gusty winds and very dry air will create conditions
  that may promote the rapid spread of wildfires if ignition
  occurs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected or occurring. A combination of strong winds, low
relative humidity, and dry fuels will create a significantly
elevated fire growth potential.


The National Weather Service in Mt. Holly NJ has issued a Special Weather Statement for elevated fire risk this afternoon due to low relative humidity and occasional wind gusts. In the image below, the areas shaded in light brown are under the Special Weather Statement.

Image obtained on April 4, 2019 at 11:20 AM from https://www.weather.gov/phi/


Special Weather Statement

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
945 AM EDT Thu Apr 4 2019

NJZ001-007>010-012>015-020-026-042300-
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Ocean-Coastal Ocean-
Including the cities of Newton, Washington, Morristown,
Flemington, Somerville, New Brunswick, Freehold, Sandy Hook,
Trenton, Jackson, and Long Beach Island
945 AM EDT Thu Apr 4 2019

...AN ENHANCED RISK OF WILDFIRE SPREAD THIS AFTERNOON...

Low relative humidity levels and occasional wind gusts near 20
MPH are anticipated for this afternoon in parts of northern and
central New Jersey. The expected conditions along with dry fine
fuels may create an elevated risk for the spread of wildfires.

For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions,
and wildfire prevention and education, please visit the state`s
environmental protection website.

Wednesday, April 03, 2019

2019 NJ Fire Season: Just in 660 acre fire in Burlington County

April 4th, 11 AM

I heard from my friends at NJFFS Section B10 earlier this morning that the fire was contained last night, and that the acreage burned may be around 660 acres, down from 1,200 acres. I just went to the Asbury Park Press who has updated their article on the fire this morning stating that the Joint Base McGuire-Fort Dix-Lakehurst and the Pemberton Volunteer Fire Department issued statements that the fire is 100 percent contained at 660 acres. Roads in the area that were closed on Wednesday are now open albeit with some delays as firefighters continue to work in the area.. Firefighters will be monitoring the area burned for hotspots.

April 3rd, 10 PM

I was listening to the NJFFS Division B (central NJ) online scanner on and off all day. I knew about this online scanner through my friends at NJFFS Section B10, they post links to the scanners in all three divisions. I usually listen to Division B for the NJ Pine Barrens, but this scanner also covers some of Division A where I live. Anyway, as I was listening today, I did note some wildfire activity near the Joint Base McGuire-Fort Dix Lakehurst near Pemberton NJ. I later heard reference that one of the NJ Forest Fire Service Huey Helicopters was requested. My friends at the NJFFS Section B10 gave me a heads up about the fire size (1,200 acres), they confirmed that the Huey and bucket flew the fire early (Delta 5). NJFFS crews were requested about 2:30 PM along with the Huey. At the time I wrote this there was no information about containment.

According to an Asbury Park Press report this evening that may be found here, there were road closures in place near the wildfire but there were no evacuations. According to the Joint Base Facebook Page, the fire originated on a training range on the base. The wildland firefighters on the ground (NJFFS, Joint Base crews, and mutual aid from nearby municipalities) will work through the night.

Red Flag Warnings in this area of New Jersey, originally set to expire at 9 PM, are now due to expire at 11 PM.

ABC6 in Philadelphia just posted a video of this from shot from their Helicopter, Chopper 6. I could not get their embed code to work, but here is a direct link to the video that I hope works.

Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
854 PM EDT Wed Apr 3 2019

NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-040300-
/O.CON.KPHI.FW.W.0001.000000T0000Z-190404T0300Z/
Sussex-Warren-Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-
Western Monmouth-Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-
Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
854 PM EDT Wed Apr 3 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* AFFECTED AREA...Eastern Pennsylvania and New Jersey,

* TIMING...Until 11:00 PM this evening.

* WINDS...West 15 to 20 mph with gusts 25 to 30 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...As low as 15 to 20 percent this evening,
  increasing overnight.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds and very dry air will create conditions
  that will promote the rapid spread of wildfires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring or are imminent due to a combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity and dry fuels. Any fires that
develop may quickly get out of control and become difficult to
contain.

For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions,
and wildfire prevention and education, please visit your state
forestry or environmental protection website.

Red Flag Warnings: April 3rd

Red Flag Warings are in place today into this evening over areas of the mid-atlantic including New Jersey, eastern and central Pennsylvania, Delaware, New York City and environs and southern New York, and much of Maryland.

I know that the New Jersey Forest Fire Service will be on patrol today and all NJFFS towers will be staffed. I am sure that other State Fire Fighting agencies will also be on patrol today. Stay safe everyone.

I will do my best to try to monitor the situation in New Jersey and will report back about any significant wildfire activity.

In the image below, the pink/red color are red flag warnings.

Image from National Weather Service Mt. Holly NJ at 8:15 AM on April 3, 2019

Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
316 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2019

DEZ001>004-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-
101>106-032030-
/O.UPG.KPHI.FW.A.0001.190403T1400Z-190404T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.FW.W.0001.190403T1400Z-190404T0100Z/
New Castle-Kent-Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches-Sussex-Warren-
Morris-Hunterdon-Somerset-Middlesex-Western Monmouth-
Eastern Monmouth-Mercer-Salem-Gloucester-Camden-
Northwestern Burlington-Ocean-Cumberland-Atlantic-Cape May-
Atlantic Coastal Cape May-Coastal Atlantic-Coastal Ocean-
Southeastern Burlington-Carbon-Monroe-Berks-Lehigh-Northampton-
Delaware-Philadelphia-Western Chester-Eastern Chester-
Western Montgomery-Eastern Montgomery-Upper Bucks-Lower Bucks-
316 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EDT
THIS EVENING FOR STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR
EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA, MOST OF NEW JERSEY, AND DELAWARE...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Red Flag
Warning for the potential of enhanced fire spread, which is in
effect from 10 AM this morning to 9 PM EDT this evening. The Fire
Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* AFFECTED AREA...The Poconos, Lehigh Valley, Berks County, and
  southeastern Pennsylvania. Also northwestern, central, and
  southern New Jersey and the entire state of Delaware.

* TIMING...From 10:00 AM until 9:00 PM Wednesday.

* WINDS...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 40 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...Dropping into the 20 to 30 percent range.

* TEMPERATURES...Highs mainly in the 60s, with 50s in the Poconos
  and far northwest New Jersey.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds and very dry air will create conditions
  that may promote the rapid spread of wildfires.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are either occurring now, or will shortly due to a combination of
strong winds, low relative humidity, and dry fuels. Any fires
that develop may quickly get out of control and become difficult
to contain.

For more information about wildfire danger, burn restrictions,
and wildfire prevention and education, please visit your state
forestry or environmental protection website.

Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
420 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2019

...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FIRE SPREAD TODAY...

NJZ006-106-108-032015-
/O.UPG.KOKX.FW.A.0001.190403T1400Z-190404T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.FW.W.0001.190403T1600Z-190404T0600Z/
Hudson-Eastern Essex-Eastern Union-
420 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY FOR URBAN NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from noon today to 2 AM EDT Thursday.
The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Hudson, Eastern Essex, and Eastern Union
  counties in northeast New Jersey.

* Timing...This afternoon and into tonight.

* Winds...West 20 to 30 mph with gusts 45 to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 17 percent.

* Impacts...Gusty winds and very dry air will create conditions
  that may promote the rapid spread of wildfires.

* Impacts...Rapid fire spread possible if ignition occurs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected or occurring. A combination of strong winds, low
relative humidity, and dry fuels will create a significantly
elevated fire growth potential.

Red Flag Warning

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
420 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2019

...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR FIRE SPREAD TODAY...

NJZ002-004-103>105-107-032015-
/O.UPG.KOKX.FW.A.0001.190403T1400Z-190404T0100Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.FW.W.0001.190403T1600Z-190404T0300Z/
Western Passaic-Eastern Passaic-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-
Western Essex-Western Union-
420 AM EDT Wed Apr 3 2019

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...

The National Weather Service in Upton has issued a Red Flag
Warning, which is in effect from noon today to 11 PM EDT this
evening. The Fire Weather Watch is no longer in effect.

* Affected Area...Bergen, Western Essex, Passaic, and Western
  Union counties in northeast New Jersey.

* Timing...This afternoon and evening.

* Winds...West 15 to 25 mph with gusts 45 to 50 mph.

* Relative Humidity...As low as 19 percent.

* Impacts...Gusty winds and very dry air will create conditions
  that may promote the rapid spread of wildfires.

* Impacts...Rapid fire spread possible if ignition occurs.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Red Flag Warning means that critical fire weather conditions
are expected or occurring. A combination of strong winds, low
relative humidity, and dry fuels will create a significantly
elevated fire growth potential.

Thursday, May 03, 2018

Red Flag Warning (May 3rd) Central & Southern NJ

Red Flag Warnings are in place until 8 PM for Central and Southern NJ until 8 PM on May 3rd. A Special Weather Statement for Enhanced Fire Weather is in place for Northeast NJ and New York City, as well as Delaware, Maryland and Northern Virginia.

Weather Forecast Map for May 3rd from NWS Mt Holly (Red Flag in Red)
Enhanced Fire Weather conditions are expected in Central and Southern New Jersey for Friday, May 4th.

My friends in Central and Southern New Jersey tell me that with the exception of a couple of small wildfires things were quiet yesterday, May 2nd. The only other wildfire activity that I know about in northern New Jersey yesterday was association with a small plane crash near Greenwood Lake Airport in norther Passaic County, NJ. Helicopter drops were made. For more information, see this report from NBC4 in New York City

Here is a nice report with video from Southern New Jersey Today published on May 2nd about the fire danger in Southern New Jersey. Sorry, I can not get the embed to work, please take a couple of minutes to go to the link and watch the video.

As for wildfires today, the only one I know about is a small wildfire in Barnagat Township, Ocean County,  NJ that required evacuations of 21 homes for a short time, that fire is now contained. An aircraft worked the fire in support of the wildland firefighters on the ground. See this article from Patch (Barnegat NJ) and this article from the Asbury Park Press for more information.